Mothman wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 9:41 pm

As I said, I watched or listened to the games. I'm aware of the context.
Really? Because the context proves my point, which is why I thought it was a strange decision to bring up this game.
Mothman wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 9:41 pm
My "game" is fine. I simply understand how time of possession and a highly effective running game can influence outcomes.
You claim that, and then fail to bring up the failure of one half of that TOP battle. The offense.
Mothman wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 9:41 pm
I never said run defense was the team's biggest issue. That's another straw man.
No. But you did say this:
I'm not sure the secondary was the biggest issue in week 1. They gave 158 rushing yards.
Run defense is an increasingly significant problem for the Vikings.
Implying if not right out stating the run game was the biggest issue week one. You then brought up week 2's run defense, mentioned no other issues besides the run defense and claimed it was similar to week 1 of this year. Week 2 last year was similar to week 1 this year, where you implied the rushing yards given up were the biggest issue. Straw man? I don't think so.
Mothman wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 9:41 pm
Your point about how much the Packers ran on drives when they actually scored implies a fundamental lack of understanding about how the running game can influence outcomes (not solely determine them—
influence them).
Ouch. Let's see if you can back up this claim of my football ignorance.
Mothman wrote: ↑Tue Sep 22, 2020 9:41 pm
It's not simply about how much a team ran on scoring drives or how many points were scored with the running game. It's about balance, game management, clock management, etc. Teams often end up with more rushing attempts in a when they win because running
effectively helps them win. An effective running game engenders more carries by enabling a team to sustain drives and add downs. It allows a team to build an advantage in time of possession, keep the opposing offense on the sidelines, wear out the opposing defense, close out games, etc.
ALL of this is Football 101.
Nope, nothing to backup what you claim, and nothing that contradicts what I wrote.
If you look closely at my post, I addressed all of that with the defense. They forced GB to punt 8 times and had a 33 % 3rd down conversion against. A 33 % conversion rate on 3rd down would have been 29th in the NFL last year, so clearly GB was not doing well on the 3rd down. So how were they sustaining drives with this great run game? Well, they weren't.
We look at the TOP per drive in that game for the Viking's defense, and look at that: 2 minutes, 25 seconds per drive. In case you were wondering, that is the exact number NE's defense averaged per drive and would have been good for 2nd in the NFL. Seems pretty good considering they struggled to stop the run and couldn't get off the field. Can you explain how that works to me. Can't wait.
We dig deeper into that TOP number for them (we will get to our offense in a second), and we see that the first three drives took about 10 minutes total. That is 24 minutes for the other 11 drives, which means outside of those first 3 drives where the run game didn't really play that big of a role, the Packer's offense averaged 2 minutes and 10 seconds per drive. That TOP against would be the best in the NFL by a good bit.
One thing to add with this TOP stat, it can be a good thing, like with NE, but it also can be a bad thing like it was with Philly, who were #1. Philly gave up a lot of big plays and so teams scored quickly on them, which meant they weren't on the field a lot. NE forced a bunch of three and outs and turnovers to achieve their short TOP. Tangent, but I apparently have to explain the obvious here.
Now on to our offense, and what the real issue with TOP was. Looks like we had the ball for 1 minute and 45 seconds on average. That would be dead last among offenses last year by about 40 seconds. So dead last by a mile, versus 2nd overall. Which one was a significant problem and which one was actually a strength? Defensive TOP or Offensive? Dead last or 2nd overall? Please explain it slowly, football 101 slow.
To bring it back to the most recent game this year. TOP was bad on both sides of the football.
4 minutes 26 seconds per drive for the Packers on offense
1 minute 52 seconds for the Vikings offense.
The top one was best in the NFL week 1
The bottom one was 2nd to worst behind only the Jets