Reality Check
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 11:00 pm
While it has been pointed out a few times already to some extent......I just am not sure exactly what people are criticizing as to strategies taken to make this team competitive this year or surprise why this is now hurting us. Discount altogether bad luck....we were a 5-11 team a year ago. Zimmer/Speilman were under pressure, like every other coach/GM in the NFL, to find a way to compete and improve. Did they make an irrational decision to base the offensive foundation around Peterson....perhaps the best FB player in the league...certainly the best FB player on the roster they inherited....and the FB [layer on their team where we were most invested? Losing him certainly makes that choice easy to second guess now. But was that a poor choice to try and transition from a 5-11 team with holes everywhere in the roster to a competitive team to hopefully buy time to have a SF or SEA type roster strength in two years to be a legitimate contender? I think not. Peterson certainly had proven his ability to stay healthy and pack the load and cover other weaknesses on offense while we tried to right the defense this year and groom a hopeful answer to QB. The moves on D look to be well considered and working as well as we could ever hope for to this point. But lose the Queen on the board early in the season....its impossible to adjust strategy in a move or two or three with pawns and a few limited pieces while you develop enough depth and skill to cover for the unexpected loss of your center piece.
Was it a risk to place so much of the ability to compete on offense in one player who may go down....sure....we did not have a QB in place that we could make the same risk decision on (see Brady/Manning/Luck/Bradshaw (that outcome on display tonight)...but the real risk there was made with the contract before this year's strategies were set...and for everything we know, it sure seemed like best practice risk management available at the time to work into a place where we were not so dependent....and we could then shed or re-evaluate that reliance and resulting contract. We are a carpenter without a hammer in our tool bag right now on offense trying to drive nails with the back of a pipe wrench....a few nails will get bent and the work will look ugly even when we can make it functional. If we get Adrian back next year we will actually be further ahead of plans for new stadium team....if we don't we will be further ahead of plans of how new stadium team is built without him....until then, we will continue to bend a few nails over and try and cover it up with some cheap trim.
It is the modern NFL....we cant enslave people to our roster through indefinite retention of the draft picks that do hit....so we have to roll the dice and hope our risk management works out until we are deep enough and diversified enough to absorb risk fails. The irony to me is that the lowest risk decision to getting where we need to be would actually be to have traded/cut Peterson and accept we will be a 3-5 win team for a few years to get better quicker (ala "the trade") if they wanted to cut the time to true perennial contender status....but they don't do that as they would have lost the fan base and been roasted for the move in light of the public money spent on new stadium deal...and now the fans want to burn the brain trust at the stake for it because the full house did not hold up to lady luck house hand at the table this year. The true irony is that it is the fans and OUR lack of any interest in supporting a good business decision with support (with our ticket purchases) through the short term pain that gets in the way sometimes of what we demand from our teams...long term success! But instead there is the reality that every single coach/GM lives with; the NFL stands for Not For Long if decisions cause short term win/loss pain to the fans in favor of better long term win/loss business decisions.
Was it a risk to place so much of the ability to compete on offense in one player who may go down....sure....we did not have a QB in place that we could make the same risk decision on (see Brady/Manning/Luck/Bradshaw (that outcome on display tonight)...but the real risk there was made with the contract before this year's strategies were set...and for everything we know, it sure seemed like best practice risk management available at the time to work into a place where we were not so dependent....and we could then shed or re-evaluate that reliance and resulting contract. We are a carpenter without a hammer in our tool bag right now on offense trying to drive nails with the back of a pipe wrench....a few nails will get bent and the work will look ugly even when we can make it functional. If we get Adrian back next year we will actually be further ahead of plans for new stadium team....if we don't we will be further ahead of plans of how new stadium team is built without him....until then, we will continue to bend a few nails over and try and cover it up with some cheap trim.
It is the modern NFL....we cant enslave people to our roster through indefinite retention of the draft picks that do hit....so we have to roll the dice and hope our risk management works out until we are deep enough and diversified enough to absorb risk fails. The irony to me is that the lowest risk decision to getting where we need to be would actually be to have traded/cut Peterson and accept we will be a 3-5 win team for a few years to get better quicker (ala "the trade") if they wanted to cut the time to true perennial contender status....but they don't do that as they would have lost the fan base and been roasted for the move in light of the public money spent on new stadium deal...and now the fans want to burn the brain trust at the stake for it because the full house did not hold up to lady luck house hand at the table this year. The true irony is that it is the fans and OUR lack of any interest in supporting a good business decision with support (with our ticket purchases) through the short term pain that gets in the way sometimes of what we demand from our teams...long term success! But instead there is the reality that every single coach/GM lives with; the NFL stands for Not For Long if decisions cause short term win/loss pain to the fans in favor of better long term win/loss business decisions.