randomghost11 wrote:wasnt trying to say teddy was just as good as brady, I was specifically talking about on deep throws. Brady is the best Qb in the league and miles better than teddy but thats not what my point is at all. My point was other qbs arent out here slinging it getting a deep ball td a game.
I see. Sorry I misinterpreted your comment.
Brady's not the best example because of the offense in which he plays. Bridgewater's playing in an offense that's supposed to be more about power running and downfield passing. It's more akin to what Arizona does than what New England does. I realize some people think Bridgewater should be running a different sort of offense and that's a legitimate point but we can only evaluate him based on how he performs in the offense he's actually being asked to run.
If I'm not mistaken, the NFL breaks things down into short and deep passes and anything over 15 yards is considered "deep". Let's expand that to 20+ yards. At that point, a QB is clearly throwing down the field on longer routes. It also works better with the way the statistical information is broken down since we get it in 10 yard increments, not 5 yard increments.
This season, Bridgewater has completed 7 of 36 attempts over 20 yards, with 1 TD and 4 INTs.
In contrast, Palmer is 23 of 61 in that range with 8 TDs and 4 INTs.
Rivers is 12 of 36 (5 TD, 0 INT)
Wilson is 16 of 36 (7 TD, 3 INT)
Carr is 17 of 38 (7 TD, 1 INT)
Rodgers is 12 of 38 (3 TD, 0 INT)
Brees is 17 of 43 (5 TD, 4 INT)
Brady is 15 of 44 (1 TD, 1 INT)
I only used the QBs Raptorman listed in his post. As you can see, Palmer is an outlier in terms of the number of deep throws he attempts. Bridgewater is attempting a similar number of deep throws to most of the other QBs, although he's on the low end among this group. As you can see, Rivers and Wilson have been able to get far more out of the same number of deep throws. Carr has been able to do even better on just 2 more throws. Rodgers has nearly twice the number of completions and 3 TDs on 2 more deep attempts (although, as we all know, one of them was a Hail Mary) and so on...
Bridgewater has the fewest completions and the most INTs in this group on passes of over 20 yards. He's the only one who hasn't come close to cracking double digits in completions on those passes yet.
He's not stacking up well in this department in 2015 and I hope that's clear to everybody. 7 completions of 20+ yards with 1 TD and 4 INTs on those longer attempts should help people understand why defenses are so willing to dare the Vikings to throw over the top. I'm sure we'll all continue to debate how much of this production in the 20+ range has to do with Bridgewater and how much of it is due to his OL, receivers, Turner, etc. but it's obvious that the Vikings have almost no downfield passing game in this deep range in 2015. It's hurting them.