Vikings Message Board.Com

dead_poet wrote:Maybe Josh Perry?

John_Viveiros wrote:Being thrown at is something that happens a lot (unless he really was that spectacularly good, which should make us all very happy). So there's a much higher tendency for that type of thing to be closer to the mean than a stat like interceptions, which happen much more infrequently. The question isn't all of your caveats in the first paragraph, it's how likely is it that he faced statistically significantly more of those than a guy like Jaelen Ramsey.

Let's do a little probability class here. Say I have a betting system for telling which way a coin will flip, and I tell you that I have a 75% success rate. It sounds impressive, but we can intuitively recognize that, if I'm talking about an event that has only happened four times (say, about the number of times Alexander got his hands on the ball each year), my system's not proven to be that great. But if it instead was where a coin was tossed 60 times (say, about the number of times Alexander was targeted each year) and I had a 75% success rate, you sit up and notice (either because I've got a system, or because I'm a con man).

Obviously, I'm not going to get you over your disappointment with the pick with a math discussion, but it's why I'm interested to see how the kid stacks up in September. Interception stats aren't nearly as important as preventing completions (many more drives are killed by 3rd down incompletions, rather than interceptions), and the scouts think the kid can clearly prevent completions.

Mothman wrote:I'm sure he can but he's still going to be 6" shorter than some of the players he's asked to cover and we know what that could mean. The pick doesn't disappoint me because of the 0 INT stat, even though it's not good that he supposedly blew opportunities to make picks. What disappoints me is that I think there were better choices for the Vikings in that spot.

HardcoreVikesFan wrote:So... We traded down 21 picks for what exactly???