Mothman wrote:
It's the same uncertainty that leads me to see that wide range of potential wins. The Vikings have a very young team so it's hard to determine at this point just how good they might become and how soon they might get there. It's possible that players like Griffen, Rhodes, Patterson, Floyd, Barr, Bridgewater, etc. will join the quality veterans on the roster and the somewhat more proven young talent (Smith, Rudolph, Kalil, Fusco) and lift the team to a higher level. It's also possible they won't be much better than they were before. I just don't see a clear path ahead for the team. I don't know what to expect, other than a good effort. I'm pretty confident we'll see that much from them.
To put it another way: in terms of young, athletic talent, I think this is one of the better teams the Vikes have had in recent years but in terms of experience and proven talent, they may not have the right mix yet. My guess is they'll finish with between 6-8 wins.
We'll see. I like them quite a bit so far. I'm hoping they'll be the best staff the Vikes have ever had. I'm tired of mediocrity (and worse).
It's not that I disagree with anything you're saying, but I did have to chuckle at the 4-10 wins you said earlier, I mean that pretty much covers everything outside of absolutely horrendous and vastly over achieving so I would assume you're safe there! 6-8 wins is a much more interesting guess as far as discussion goes.
At this point it's clear I'm a lot more optimistic, I just think the team is pointed in the right direction now but I do like what you said about unproven players lifting the team up more. The Vikings went 3-1-2 in their last 6 games and a big part of that imo was the emergence of some of those unproven players. Some of them aren't the solution either, but at the time they played better than what we had been using for the first 10 games.
I expect a huge impact from Patterson, and I think Rhodes will be a top 10 CB if he stays healthy. Frazier went with Veterans and I'm not going to start that argument again but I think the flashes we saw from those two and a few others when they got to play tells me they're ready for take off this year. Everson Griffen, this guy is just too talented to be bad and has enough "tape" out there now to tell us what we can expect from him. No he's never been a full time starter but that shouldn't bother anyone, Zimmer rotates linemen so much and Griffen will get to rush from the 3 technique on passing downs still.
Anthony Barr I'll admit is a bit of a question mark, but at the minimum I see him offering up an elite pass rushing option. One thing we struggled mightily at last year was getting off the field on 3rd down. Heck even if it was 3rd and 16+ they still often enough couldn't get off the field. In those situations, Anthony Barr will be unleashed on the QB and Zimmer coaches these guys to play tight and take advantage of those situations.
The somewhat proven talent you mention really sounds like proven talent to me. We know what we're going to get out of Fusco, Rudolph, Smith, and while Kalil wasn't that great last year he's still okay at his worst. I don't see those guys regressing, in fact if they don't stay the same it's very likely they improved because they are still young and because we do have such a young team, that's why I feel like improvement is more likely to happen than regression. When it comes to Rudolph, Tight ends have always flourished under Turner. Same thing with Running backs and the scariest thing to think for opposing teams is this should be Peterson's best year as a pass catcher out of the backfield. For whatever reason, Musgrave ignored that part of Peterson's game and Childress understandably used Chester Taylor in that 3rd down role. Smith seems to love Zimmer's defense so far and he already seems like a borderline probowler, would a big year from him really surprise people?
If we stopped there, I'd get it, 6 wins sounds about right. But we're not going to stop there, you have to add ALL of that potential to Sullivan, Jennings, Wright, Simpson, Loadholt, former league MVP Adrian Peterson, Blair Walsh (or does he go in the "potential" pool still?

) Felton, Cassel, Joseph, Munnerlyn, Cox, etc.
Then, you have to take into account Frazier vs Zimmer, Turner vs Musgrave. Eli said it best a couple of posts ago, maybe they aren't miracle workers, but really, they don't have to be to be a significant improvement. I know you thought highly of Frazier and Musgrave so you probably won't agree with that so this is just where we stand now with a difference of opinion.
Even if you're predicting 6-8 wins I can respect that take, you just never know with football. I can't imagine there was a single texans fan who thought they would go 2-14 for example but they did.