mansquatch wrote:The PIT/GB thing is silly to me, but not unexpected. My question for the reporters: Why should we believe that even though the past 5 superbowls were won by elite defensive teams that this will be the year of the offense?
As for GB. I have no doubt they will be a playoff team and a challenge for us. I expect we will most likely split our games with them once again.
However, in terms of a SB win, I really don't see the hype. As we've seen in every season since 2010, when the Packers get into the playoffs they make a nice run, but inevitable they face a balanced team with an great to elite defenses and they cannot take the next step. My question to those who want to pick them for the SB is why they think this squad will be different in that respect?
Looking at the changes from 2015 to 2016, I feel like there really are not any meaningful changes. Jordy Nelson was on those many teams that floundered against elite defenses in the playoffs, basically every season from 2011 through 2014. Is he, coming off a knee injury, suddenly that much better? Is the Defense suddenly a vast improvement over the past few years to justify such a projection? Is Eddie Lacy, sans a few pounds suddenly an offensive juggernaut after spending so much of last year on the bench? Is their OL without Sitton so much better? Is the Coaching staff all of a sudden better than those previous teams with McCarthy calling the plays. (He called them in 2011-2014 also) There is no reason to think that the answer to any of these questions is yes, so with GB, the only question that really matters (as usual) is if Aaron Rogers enough to get them over the top? Given their recent history and defensive dominance in the superbowl, I'm skeptical.
For those who say look what they did in the playoffs last year despite being banged up, consider they had the easiest opponent in the Wild Card round via a WSH team that limped into the playoffs after winning the weakest division in the NFC. They then played an AZ team, a team much like themselves built mostly on offense and a "good enough" defense. That same AZ team went to Carolina the following week and was utterly humiliated in the worst NFCCG performance since the wonderful Vikings experience in 2001.
So again I ask, why are these offensive juggernauts the favorites? Why is 2016 going to be different?
Yea, can't take that next step against elite Defenses, except for, you know, when they won the SB.
I don't think to negatively about the ARI playoff game, our D held there top ranked O quite decently and our 5th and 6th WRs were thrust into starting roles and absolutely took the Cards top ranked secondary (A D that is 'just good enough' in your words) to the woodshed.
To answer your question about the Defense, Yes that is the hope, the D was ranked higher then the Vikes D for much of last year, and only fell from top 7 to 12th after we played ARI without our top two corners. Our 'good enough' D? it was ranked slightly over a point less then the Vikes in terms of average ppg.
Our O line? Sitton was a year away from being gone anyway, our O line when healthy is was amongst the best in the league with Sitton, I doubt his absence will knock them out, besides, its not like we don't have multiple options in regards to guard, we already know Tretter can play Guard fantastically but we also were readying Lane Taylor for a starting position for some time now.
Lacy was solid even in is worst year last year, he looks and is in far better shape so a return to his rookie form would certainly be encouraging, why wouldn't it be?
McCarthy was also the playcaller in 2010, what is your point?
To pretty much sum it all up, the 2014 Packers were the best Packers team in the Rodgers era, and they would have easily cruised to a SB win had Rodgers not sustained a crippling injury he had to play through, I think this O can be easily just as good (Jordy comes back, but we also have Jared Cook now) as the 2014 teams O, but the D has the wherewithall to be way, way better then that, I think our secondary is the best, most talented in the league, and it is going to catapult the Packers D to top 5. (Where they straddled most of last year)
But most of all, we have Aaron Rodgers, and when you put Aaron Rodgers on a team with even an average D, they are going to rightfully be Division, and SB favorites.
